MD_DA240 DA MD DA240 FLUID MILK AND CREAM REVIEW - WEST Madison, WI November 22, 2016 (REPORT 47) Unfavorable weather conditions are forecast throughout the week in California. Therefore, dairy operators are anticipating lower farm milk yields this week. Bottled milk orders from educational institutions are lower as most schools will be closed during the Thanksgiving holiday break. However, retail requests are up as bottlers are filling last minute grocery shopping. After the middle of the week, milk volumes moving into balancing plants are expected to be heavier. In Arizona, milk production is higher due to cooler temperatures. Class I orders from educational institutions are down. However, requests from retailers and some restaurants are higher, driven by the upcoming holiday needs. Customers' demands for eggnog, cream cheese, and sour cream are seasonally strong. In New Mexico, farm milk output is higher, sustained by favorable climate conditions. Orders from bottlers are noticeably down mainly due to the Thanksgiving holiday break in most schools. Therefore, more milk volumes are moving into balancing plants. As a result, drying schedules in some plants are expected to be very active, adding to NDM/SMP inventories. According to the DMN National Retail Report- Dairy for the week of November 18-24, the national weighted average advertised price for one gallon of milk is $2.61. The weighted average regional price in the Southwest is $1.99. Class II processors are requesting less condensed skim supplies due to the shortened week operational schedules. Consequently, higher condensed skim volumes are clearing into NDM processing. Milk production in the Pacific Northwest is seasonally strong. Bottling demand is solid, however some additional milk is finding its way to manufactured dairy products over the Thanksgiving holiday. Milk supplies are readily available for cheese manufacturing. In the mountain states of Idaho, Colorado and Utah, milk production is following typical seasonal patterns. Milk is readily available for most processing needs. Idaho and Colorado dairy farms have added cow numbers and the new production continues to find homes at dairy processing facilities nearby. Many Class II are pulling less cream volumes during this holiday-shortened processing week. As a result, cream supplies are more available in the market and premiums are lower. This week, multiples for all classes are down, ranging from 1.05 to 1.24. The NASS Milk Production report noted October 2016 milk production in the 23 selected states was 16.5 billion pounds, 2.7% above a year ago. Milk cows in the 23 selected states totaled 8.67 million head, 31,000 head more than a year ago. The following table shows western states included in the report and the monthly milk production changes compared to a year ago: October 2016 Milk Production, (USDA-NASS) (Million Lb.) % Change From 1 Year Ago Arizona 377 + 0.3 California 3,302 + 1.8 Colorado 329 + 3.1 Idaho 1,243 + 4.0 New Mexico 650 + 1.1 Oregon 212 ... Utah 172 - 5.5 Washington 554 + 1.3 1430CT Angel.Teran@ams.usda.gov (608)557-7011 Mike.Bandli@ams.usda.gov (608)557-7010 USDA/AMS/Dairy Market News, Madison, Wisconsin Dairy Market News website: http://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/dairy Dairy Market News database portal: http://www.marketnews.usda.gov/mnp/da-home