MD_DA240 DA MD DA240 FLUID MILK AND CREAM REVIEW - WEST Madison, WI August 4, 2016 (REPORT 31) Farm level milk production is trending lower in California. Daytime temperatures are reaching 109 degrees in the Central Valley. Consequently, cows' stress is increasing. However, manufacturers report having enough milk supplies to cover current production needs. Orders from bottlers are steadily improving as most educational institutions are reopening in the next few weeks. Bottled milk requests from retailers and food service are steady. Demands for ice cream and frozen desserts are strong, which is usual for this time of the year. Condensed skim volumes moving into Class 4a(butter/powder)and Class 4b(cheese)are steady. Dairy operators' demand for high quality alfalfa hay is moderate to high, but supplies are tight. Therefore, many dairy operators are buying alfalfa from nearby states. The July 4a price (butter/powder) in California is $14.23, up 72 cents from the previous month and $1.20 higher from a year ago. This compares to the Federal Order Class IV price of $14.84 for July. The July 4b price (cheese) is $14.67, up $1.64 from the previous month, but 31 cents below a year ago. This compares to the Federal Order Class III price for July at $15.24. The monsoon activity and high humidity are negatively affecting milk yields in Arizona. A few hauling issues have been reported due to flooding along highways. Class I orders from educational institutions are ramping up as most K-12 schools are reopening this week. Requests from retailers are higher as some supermarkets are restocking shelves. Class I sales into restaurants are even this week. Demands for various Class II dairy products are fair to good. Moderate condensed skim volumes continue moving into NDM processing. The rains have delayed alfalfa hay harvesting in some areas of the state. In New Mexico, the warm and rainy weather conditions are dropping farm milk intakes. Sales into Class I balancing plants are steady. Bottled milk demands from retailers and food service are even this week. However, many processors are anticipating higher Class I sales as K-12 schools are reopening soon. Class II sales are higher as interest for ice cream is strong. Condensed skim demand from NDM manufacturers is active. According to the DMN National Retail Report-Dairy for the week of July 29-August 4, the national weighted average advertised price for one gallon of milk is $2.66, up 25 cents from last week and 30 cents higher from a year ago. The weighted average regional prices in the Southwest and Northwest are $2.34 and $2.10, respectively. Pacific Northwest dairies have experienced a stretch of relatively good milk production weather. With the occasional touch of summer heat, milk production is steady to lower and following typical seasonal trends. Sufficient supplies of milk are available for most processing needs. Bottling demand is stable, but processors are anticipating the start of school terms over the next few weeks will increase bottling draws. Feed supplies are adequate. Pasture and rangeland conditions are good or excellent in 34% of Oregon, and 63% of Washington. Milk production is stable in the mountain states of Colorado, Idaho and Utah. Recent higher temperatures may have taken milk intakes down a notch, but there is still plenty of milk for most processing needs. Industry contacts report milk receipts are in pretty good balance with processing needs. Although a few loads of milk are being shipped into other western states, extra milk is mostly finding homes at nearby facilities. Hay making is ongoing and feedstocks are in good supply. Pasture and rangeland conditions are good or excellent in 66% of Colorado, 56% of Idaho, and 55% of Utah. Western cream supplies continue to narrow. Cream volumes moving into butter churning are steady. However, ice cream makers continue pulling significant amounts of cream. The market undertone is firm. This week, multiples for all classes are higher, ranging from 1.16 to 1.30. 1100CT Angel.Teran@ams.usda.gov 608-557-7011 Mike.Bandli@ams.usda.gov 608.557.7010 USDA/AMS/Dairy Market News, Madison, Wisconsin Dairy Market News website: http://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/dairy Dairy Market News database portal: http://www.marketnews.usda.gov/mnp/da- home