MD_DA240 DA MD DA240 FLUID MILK AND CREAM REVIEW - WEST Madison, WI July 01, 2015 (REPORT 26) Milk production in California is trending down. The severe lack of water and the hottest temperatures are negatively affecting the milk yield of cows. The National Weather Service issued an excessive heat warning for the Sacramento Valley, with temperatures ranging from 110 to 115 degrees. In addition, the precipitation probability remains at 0% for the Central Valley, continuing shorting soil moisture levels. This issue is reducing the local alfalfa hay availability for feeding. Some dairies are importing hay from neighboring states. Class 1 demand is mixed and steady for Class 2. Milk output in Arizona continues seasonally decreasing. The high temperatures, above 105 degrees, are raising the heat stress of cows. This situation is adversely affecting their productivity. However, milk plants continue getting enough milk loads, helping clear up milk volumes from nearby states. Bottled milk demand is unchanged at usual summer levels. Milk volumes in New Mexico are seasonally lower. Nevertheless, there are plenty of milk volumes in the state. In addition, plentiful loads of milk are coming from neighboring states. Some processors are running at full capacity and clearing milk loads to Central states. New Mexico has plenty of fair/good pasture to feed cows. All the state's regions are in the third cutting of alfalfa. The sales into Class I and Class II are slightly lower this week. According to DMN National Retail Report- Dairy for week of June 26-July 2, the weighted average advertised price for one gallon of milk in the Southwest is $2.33, five cents below the National price. The cream market tone is balanced. Some churns are reporting a reduction in production due to a deficiency of solid components in the processed milk. However, the West has plenty of cream. A big part the cream output is pulled by orders from ice cream/frozen desserts manufacturers due to good seasonal demand. Cream multiples are unchanged, ranging from 1.21 to 1.25. Grade AA butter closed Tuesday at $ 1.9175, up $0.0200 compared to a week ago. The Pacific Northwest normally sees strong milk production well into July, however industry contacts report they have already started to see decreases in milk intakes. Recent hot, dry weather has been putting strains on cows and milk cooling equipment. It is anticipated that hot days and warm nights may reduce milk production further. Processors report they still have access to plenty of milk and cream is generally available. Some processors continue to sell off loads of cream. The seasonal increase in ice cream production is pulling cream from other uses. Industry contacts in Idaho and Utah report milk production is beginning to slow, following typical seasonal trends. Milk is still readily available for processors, however some manufacturers have started seeing the components in milk drop. Current hay production is proceeding. Some sources suggest hay may not be as plentiful as in an average year and there may be some pull for hay from outside the region later in the summer. 1430CT Angel.Teran@ams.usda.gov 608-557-7011 Mike.Bandli@ams.usda.gov 608.557.7010 USDA/AMS/Dairy Market News, Madison, Wisconsin Dairy Market News website: www.ams.usda.gov/dairymarketnews Dairy Market News database portal: http://www.marketnews.usda.gov/mnp/da-home